In this paper we propose a continuous-time Markov chain to describe the spread of an infective and non-mortal disease into a community numerically limited and subjected to an external infection. We make a numerical simulation that shows tendencies for recurring epidemic outbreaks and for fade-out or extinction of the infection.
|Stato di pubblicazione||Published - 2008|
All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes
- Mathematical Physics
- Statistical and Nonlinear Physics
- Statistics and Probability
- Condensed Matter Physics