Dynamics of a financial market index after a crash

Risultato della ricerca: Articlepeer review

24 Citazioni (Scopus)

Abstract

We discuss the statistical properties of index returns in a financial market just after a major market crash. The observed non-stationary behavior of index returns is characterized in terms of the exceedances over a given threshold. This characterization is analogous to the Omori law originally observed in geophysics. By performing numerical simulations and theoretical modelling, we show that the non-linear behavior observed in real market crashes cannot be described by a GARCH(1,1) model. We also show that the time evolution of the Value at Risk observed just after a major crash is described by a power-law function lacking a typical scale.
Lingua originaleEnglish
pagine (da-a)125-134
Numero di pagine10
RivistaPHYSICA. A
Volume338
Stato di pubblicazionePublished - 2004

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Statistics and Probability
  • Condensed Matter Physics

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