Assessing long-term fiscal developments: A new approach

Davide Furceri, Luca Agnello, Davide Furceri, Ricardo M. Sousa, Luca Agnello, António Afonso

Risultato della ricerca: Articlepeer review

10 Citazioni (Scopus)

Abstract

We use a new approach to assess long-term fiscal developments. By analyzing the time-varying behaviour of the two components of government spending and revenue – responsiveness and persistence –, a feature not captured by automatic stabilisers, we are able to infer about the sources of fiscal deterioration (improvement). Drawing on quarterly data, we estimate recursively these components within a system of government revenue and spending equations using a Three-Stage Least Square method for eight European Union countries plus the US. The results suggest that significant changes in the fiscal stance (including those related to the current crisis) are reflected in the estimates of persistence and responsiveness.
Lingua originaleEnglish
pagine (da-a)130-146
Numero di pagine17
RivistaJournal of International Money and Finance
Volume30
Stato di pubblicazionePublished - 2011

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

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