Advanced spatio-temporal point processes for the Sicily seismicity analysis

Research output: Contribution to conferenceOtherpeer-review

Abstract

Due to the complexity of the generator process of seismic events, westudy under several aspects the interaction structure between earthquake events usingrecently developed spatio-temporal statistical techniques and models. Usingthese advanced statistical tools, we aim to characterise the global and local scalecluster behaviour of the Easter Sicily seismicity considering the catalogue data since2006, when the Italian National Seismic Network was upgraded and earthquake locationwas sensibly improved. Firstly, we characterise the global complex spatiotemporalinteraction structure with the space-time ETAS model where backgroundseismicity is estimated non-parametrically, while triggered seismicity is estimatedby MLE. After identifying seismic sequences by a clustering technique, we characterisetheir spatial and spatio-temporal interaction structures using other advancedpoint process models. For the characterisation of the spatial interactions, a versionof hybrid of Gibbs point process models is proposed as method to describe themultiscale interaction structure of several seismic sequences accounting for boththe attractive and repulsive nature of data. Furthermore, we consider log-GaussianCox processes (LGCP), that are relatively tractable class of empirical models fordescribing spatio-temporal correlated phenomena. Several parametric formulationof spatio-temporal LGCP are estimated, by the minimum contrast procedure, assumingboth separable and non-separable parametric specification of the correlationfunction of the underlying Gaussian Random Field.
Original languageEnglish
Pages312-319
Number of pages8
Publication statusPublished - 2018

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